The ambition to play and win more or when to stop?



The ambition to play and win more or when to stop? A forum participant wrote this: "....... today I overcome the ambition to play and win more and I lost what I won and I retired. But the most curious thing is that it was in 3 or 4 hands and even more curious is that I did not want to get up from the table and also knew that the deck had already become negative ... a tremendous asshole ...... " I want to share my response to this comment not only with the forum participants but with all the readers of the blog: That is the problem of the player. That is the playful mosquito, when one wants more, when things go well and one thinks that they will never turn around. The numbers are clear and decisive, the short term is exciting and treacherous. The numbers say that if you do everything right, the game is clean your winnings will be between .5 and 1.2% of your average bet multiplied by the number of hands you play, with standard deviations in the environment of 11 times your average bet! If you play for example with a unit of $ 10 and a ramp of $ 10- $ 100 the average bet will be in the order of $ 20 (more or less) means that in 100 hands you are likely to win $ 220 or lose $ 220 but there is also close to a 10% chance of losing 30 average bets, that is $ 600. Simply lose 6 or 7 high bets in a row to get us out of the table in 15 minutes. When you play alone, the variations are terrible, but the more you play, the closer you get to that average. When one is lucky, everything goes perfect. The account goes up, you raise the bet and you win. You win so easy that you trust and you say, I'm not winning enough ... and you alter the ramp and when it's your turn to play two units bet 10 because you're lucky! The rest does not have to be told ... Then the geniuses come out! How to increase the bet because you are gaining many hands in negative accounts and you are "wasting your shoe" or you start inventing blackjack prediction techniques, you open two positions with the maximum bet when your system tells you that "blackjack comes" the first night work perfect, the second also, there is but the third ... .. all the blackjack arrive to the dealer ... .. Then the mosquito bites us! We must recover what we lost! and we began to challenge the inexorable mathematics ... And we started giving benefits to the owners of the casinos ... And our gambling capital vanishes ... Nobody is immune to this! The pleasure of winning and playing is almost as basic as sex and often even replaces it. When that happens, unless our partner is a player or player, the couple or family is destroyed. If I have learned anything in all these years as a blackjack player, it is that there is no mathematical clue as to when to stop. If you stop winning today, nothing guarantees that tomorrow you will win again. If you are playing and you are losing, and you keep playing you are as likely to recover as you keep losing, and if you stop losing nothing guarantees that tomorrow you will recover. The only thing you know is that in the long term you will win between .5 and 1.2% of your average bet multiplied by the number of hands you play. This has also been learned by the managers and coordinators of the big blackjack teams. Playing blackjack professionally is a job that requires a schedule. A number of hours per day or per week are worked. Without abusing, without ending the physical and mental conditions of the players. If the sessions are two hours, they end at two hours winning or losing. Rest what you have to rest and play what you have to play. If my friends, the time to stop is just the time when the time to play or before is over if our physical or mental conditions are diminished by fatigue or stress. To stop winning or losing or after having won so much or lost so much, is simply to stretch the long term, in the end we will win or lose what the inexorable mathematics tells us. But if we are tired, we make mistakes in counting, gambling or betting or we start inventing the results can be disastrous.
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